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Lakeland, Florida weather

United States · America/New_York · 28.04, -81.95

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How accurate is the Lakeland, Florida forecast?

Every night WeatherSignal writes down what it is predicting for Lakeland, Florida for the next five days. Once a day is over, the same coordinates are checked against the measured record and the difference is published here — including the times we got it wrong. Nothing is back-filled, because a forecast written after the fact is not a forecast.

Average error by how far ahead we called it

Based on 5 scored days since Fri, Sep 18.

Days aheadHigh off byLow off byWithin 3°Rain call rightDays scored
1 day (tomorrow)1°F1.5°F100%100%1
2 days0.7°F0.7°F100%100%1
3 days5.8°F0.7°F0%100%1
4 days4.7°F3.1°F0%0%1
5 days0.5°F2.2°F100%0%1

“Rain call right” means we said 50% or more and it rained, or we said under 50% and it stayed dry.

The last two weeks, day by day

DayWe saidIt wasOff by
Fri, Sep 1890° / 72°89° / 74°1°F

What changed since yesterday

Nothing moved enough to mention. When a day’s high shifts by 4°F or more, or the rain chance swings by 20 points, it is listed here instead of being quietly rewritten.

These scores cover WeatherSignal’s own published forecast for this exact location. Measured values come from the same public analysis archive used for historical weather, and can be revised upstream. A day only appears once it has been both recorded in advance and scored afterwards.

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